Grade 12 students in Manitoba learning Applied Math... They're in two different towns, and happen to be connected by Highway 10...They'll be learning with and from each other. Ryan Maksymchuk and Cam Bennet are teachers in Swan River and Dauphin, Manitoba, respectively. This is a bright idea that may encourage other teachers and students to consider collaborating with other learners in other places...It might work. It might not...Watch and see...

Monday, June 1, 2009

Stats unit review, (confidence intervals)

This is a piece of the STATS unit review.
Confidence intervals.

A confidence interval is… “Predicting the likelihood that the mean of a sample occurs within a certain interval, a certain percent of the time”.

90%...95%...99%... sizes of confidence intervals considered “worthwhile” for statistical prediction purpose.

Here is an example question:
A research study on fruit flies found that an average of 50% of them stay alive after 32 hours.

a) Determine the 95% confidence interval for the percentage of a sample of 1000 fruit flies still alive after 32 hours. Show your work.
Here is what you do.

In your calculator, press the buttons… STAT then TESTS. Go to Prop z-int and it brings up this screen.
X:
N:
C-Level:
Calculate


X is your mean, N is your total number, so in this example your X would be 500, and your N would be 1000. Your C-level is 95. Press calculate and you should get this screen.
1-PropZInt
(.046901,.053099)
P=.5
N=1000


Your percentage interval is (.046901,.053099)
After every question you need to explain the meaning of the confidence interval. So in this example you would write….

If a similar experience/survey/poll were conducted this interval (46.9, 53.1) means that we are 95% confident that 32 hours later out of the 1000 fruit flies between 46,9 and 53.1 percent of them will remain alive.

I hope you are confident with this part of the unit, and if you have any questions please place them in the comments section and I will do my best to answer them.

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